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RISK
MANAGEMENT STRATEGY
Currency
markets are highly speculative and volatile in nature. Any
currency can become very expensive or very cheap in relation
to its counterpart in a matter of days, hours, or sometimes,
even minutes. This unpredictable nature of currencies is what
attracts an investor to trade and invest in the currency market.
The
Forex market behaves very differently from all other markets.
Speed, volatility, and the enormous size of the Forex market
are unlike anything else in the financial world. The Forex
market is therefore uncontrollable - no single event, individual,
or factor rules it. Just like any other speculative business,
increased risk entails chances for gains/loss.
There
are things, that every trader should know both BEFORE and
DURING a trade.
Exit
the market at pre-determined targets
Limit orders, also known as exit orders, allow Forex traders
to exit the Forex market at their pre-determined targets.
If one is short on a currency pair, the system will only allow
one to place a limit order below the current market price.
Similarly, if you are long on a currency pair, the system
will only allow one to place a limit order above the current
market price. Limit orders help create a disciplined trading
methodology and make it possible for traders to walk away
from the computer without continuously monitoring the market.
Control
risk by capping losses
Stop/loss orders allow traders to set an exit point for a
losing trade. If one is short on a currency pair, the stop/loss
order should be placed above the current market price. If
one is long on the currency pair, the stop/loss order should
be placed below the current market price. Stop/loss orders
help traders control risk by capping losses. Stop/loss orders
are counter-intuitive because traders do not want them to
be hit, however, the trader would be happy that he had placed
them. When logic dictates, one can control greed.
Where
the trader places his stop and limit will depend on how risk-averse
he is. Stop/loss orders should not be so tight that normal
market volatility triggers the order. Similarly, limit orders
should reflect a realistic expectation of gains based on the
markets trading activity and the length of time one wants
to hold the position.
Trading
foreign currencies is a demanding opportunity for trained
and experienced investors. However, before deciding to participate
in the Forex market, one should soberly reflect on the desired
result of investment and level of experience. Any transaction
involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited
to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions
that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a
currency.
Moreover,
the leveraged* nature of FX trading means that any market
movement will have an equally proportional effect on deposited
funds. The possibility exists that you could sustain a total
loss of your initial margin funds and be required to deposit
additional funds to maintain a position. If you fail to meet
any margin call within the time prescribed, the positions
would be liquidated and they would be responsible for any
resulting losses. 'Stop-loss' or 'limit' order strategies
may lower an investor's exposure to risk.
Lowering
risk whilst trading
Trade, like a technical analyst. Understanding the fundamentals
behind an investment also requires understanding technical
analysis. When fundamental and technical signals point to
the same direction, you have a good chance of having a successful
trade, especially with good money management skills.
Technical
traders use charts, trend lines, support and resistance levels,
numerous patterns and mathematical analyses to identify trading
opportunities, whereas fundamentalists foretell price movements
by interpreting variety of economic data, including news,
government-issued indicators and reports, and even rumors.
The most exciting price movements however, happen when unexpected
events occur. Such events may range from a Central bank raising
domestic interest rates to the outcome of an act of war or
just a political election. Still, more often it is the expectation
of an event that drives the market rather than concrete event.
Therefore,
'Be disciplined!'. Create a position, understand the reason
for having taken that position, and establish stop loss and
target levels. Discipline includes hitting stops and not following
the temptation to stay with a losing position that has gone
through stop-loss level. Rule of thumb: In a bull market,
be long or neutral - in a bear market, be short or neutral.
If one forgets this rule and trades against the trend, one
will suffer not only psychological worries but also frequent
losses. Never add to a losing position. Many successful traders
set their stops beyond the rate at which they made the trade
so that the worst that can happen is that they get stopped
out.
*
Without proper risk management, this high degree of leverage
can lead to large losses as well as gains
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